Gold prices inched closer to the $2,700 mark on Thursday, with the metal trading at $2,696.91 per ounce in early sessions. This represents a more than one-month high, driven by softer US core inflation data, which has raised expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
While the surge in gold prices signals investor optimism, analysts noted that gains were tempered by geopolitical developments, including the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas.
Hani Abuagla, senior market analyst at XTB Mena, highlighted the significant influence of the US dollar and Treasury yields on gold prices. “Gold’s trajectory continues to be shaped by movements in the dollar and bond yields,” Abuagla said.
He also pointed out the potential implications of President-elect Donald Trump’s proposed economic policies. Trump’s plans, particularly his promise to impose steep tariffs on imports, could amplify inflation risks, thereby complicating the Federal Reserve’s policy decisions.
“While near-term pressures may limit gold’s upward momentum, the broader outlook remains promising. Geopolitical uncertainties and sustained demand from central banks are likely to support gold prices in the medium to long term,” Abuagla added.
Gold has historically been seen as a hedge against inflation and economic instability. Analysts believe that its appeal is likely to endure amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and a cautious monetary policy stance by central banks worldwide.
The metal’s performance in the coming months will largely depend on key economic indicators, policy decisions from the Federal Reserve, and developments in global trade and political stability.
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